BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Fresno State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Fresno State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.33 |
27.79 (-2.54) |
29.55 |
24.29 (-5.25) |
24.29 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
382.17 |
356.23 (-25.94) |
379.73 |
346.38 (-33.35) |
346.38 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.68 |
5.30 (-0.38) |
5.64 |
4.97 (-0.67) |
4.97 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.58 |
26.70 (+5.12) |
24.00 |
27.50 (+3.50) |
27.50 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
353.50 |
413.86 (+60.36) |
386.82 |
421.92 (+35.10) |
421.92 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.25 |
5.85 (+0.60) |
5.57 |
6.00 (+0.42) |
6.00 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Purdue |
27.60 |
32.39 |
+4.79 |
59.99 |
42.32% |
W 39-35 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
Eastern Washington |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-31 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-17 |
@Arizona State |
21.81 |
24.67 |
+2.86 |
46.49 |
45.41% |
W 29-0 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-24 |
Kent State |
46.44 |
9.27 |
-37.16 |
55.71 |
99.90% |
W 53-10 |
4-0 |
| 2023-10-01 |
Nevada |
33.83 |
12.38 |
-21.45 |
46.21 |
84.41% |
W 27-9 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-08 |
@Wyoming |
21.62 |
27.15 |
+5.53 |
48.76 |
41.13% |
L 19-24 |
5-1 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Utah State |
36.43 |
33.17 |
-3.26 |
69.60 |
55.22% |
W 37-32 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-29 |
UNLV |
31.70 |
33.29 |
+1.58 |
64.99 |
47.46% |
W 31-24 |
7-1 |
| 2023-11-05 |
Boise State |
25.12 |
31.10 |
+5.98 |
56.21 |
40.41% |
W 37-30 |
8-1 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@San José State |
23.97 |
31.23 |
+7.26 |
55.19 |
38.35% |
L 18-42 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-19 |
New Mexico |
40.05 |
21.35 |
-18.69 |
61.40 |
79.98% |
L 17-25 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@San Diego State |
27.44 |
20.64 |
-6.79 |
48.08 |
60.90% |
L 18-33 |
8-4 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-16 |
New Mexico State |
26.32 |
20.05 |
-6.27 |
46.36 |
60.06% |
W 37-10 |
9-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.01% |
| 3-10 |
0.14% |
| 4-9 |
1.00% |
| 5-8 |
4.53% |
| 6-7 |
11.80% |
| 7-6 |
20.84% |
| 8-5 |
24.81% |
| 9-4 |
20.45% |
| 10-3 |
11.39% |
| 11-2 |
4.12% |
| 12-1 |
0.83% |
| 13-0 |
0.07% |